Sanctions alone will not end the war in Ukraine. But Russia is consuming its reserves and human capital just as Europe’s military industry begins to accelerate.
Perhaps the most dangerous assumption in geopolitics is believing that time favors one side over the other. It doesn’t. Time rewards adaptation, exposes strategic illusions, and ultimately reveals the true strength of institutions. That is why waiting alone has so often failed as a strategy. Ukraine has repeatedly shown that adaptability can outweigh advantages in size, resources, and initial expectations.
It’s true that bombing Wildberries can bring small business owners to blame Ukraine but these people suddenly aware of war damaging their lives and showing it in networks look so pathetically self oriented that it might also be a good argument for peace
I really do wonder if Russia can pull off a mobilization without rocking the boat so much it might tilt in the wrong direction. I don’t know, but I have trouble envisaging a smooth event.
Psychopaths like the Elderly Criminal often make major errors that can endanger them if they're being watched closely. Hubris, that old reliable character flaw.
Trump is primarily self interested. He leans towards protecting powerful dictators who he envies and admires. However when doing that conflicts with his own political or economic self interest he always leans towards his self interest. Notice that he’s cut back on aiding Ukraine but has not ceased all assistance. The reason for this is that powerful Republican politicians and the majority of the American public support Ukraine.
Still expecting he’s deposed before end of Sept. No way out for Putin, not even by yacht. They’ll find him. He’s over no matter what. His billionaires know this. They are not giving back the billions to a lost cause, when their business losses are getting realized staggeringly fast. Weeks left now for Putin, not months.
Time may have been on Putin's side at some point but the drone dynamic has changed that. The idea of the invincibility of empire has been badly tarnished by Ukraine's success.
What a bunch of fantasies. European industries ramp up??? To what? Deindustrialization, bankrupcy, stock buybacks. We can see ukraine's cemeteries from space, but Russia will collapse because a couple of warehouses were struck. The nation that lost 28 mil in ww2 will surrender when it's winning and the enemy has no more soldiers. Yeah sure, buddy, keep dreaming. How about telling Zelensky to accept whatever Trump got for him in Anchorage, and stop destroying Ukraine. Won't happen, but that's all that could save Ukraine. Have you never wondered why the US is disengaging from Ukraine in every possible way, and letting the EU and Zelensky have center stage? Simple. When Kiev falls they want the new Saigon moment to be on the europeans and Zelensky. This winter the dreams of the West and the fools in Kiev will shatter. What' the future of Russia? Empire, as this the tragedy of Great Powers. What is the future of Ukraine? CHECHNYA!
Did you ever read the article? Your "answers" show that not. All arguments you put on the table are old and depraved. The former USSR is not the actual russia, the kind of war is far from WW2.
The only right point is that Trump always wants to be on the winning side - and this is the reason for his, slow,treacherous and careful, change of the side.
The only one dreaming are you, dreaming of a big RuSSian empire.
Why would I dream of a big Russian Empire? I'm in Romania. I think you don't dare see truth in the face, and keep comfort in your info bubble. Yes, warfare is differnet from ww2, but nukes in an existential war are a no brainer.
Perhaps the most dangerous assumption in geopolitics is believing that time favors one side over the other. It doesn’t. Time rewards adaptation, exposes strategic illusions, and ultimately reveals the true strength of institutions. That is why waiting alone has so often failed as a strategy. Ukraine has repeatedly shown that adaptability can outweigh advantages in size, resources, and initial expectations.
It’s true that bombing Wildberries can bring small business owners to blame Ukraine but these people suddenly aware of war damaging their lives and showing it in networks look so pathetically self oriented that it might also be a good argument for peace
I really do wonder if Russia can pull off a mobilization without rocking the boat so much it might tilt in the wrong direction. I don’t know, but I have trouble envisaging a smooth event.
Psychopaths like the Elderly Criminal often make major errors that can endanger them if they're being watched closely. Hubris, that old reliable character flaw.
Governments in the west may change very soon (e.g. Le Pen in 2027) to vindicate Putin's time based strategy.
.
I am not sure whether western voting populations really care or understand the impact of their political choices.
.
Trump will do anything to ototect Putin and Xi fir as long as he lives or holds office.
Trump is primarily self interested. He leans towards protecting powerful dictators who he envies and admires. However when doing that conflicts with his own political or economic self interest he always leans towards his self interest. Notice that he’s cut back on aiding Ukraine but has not ceased all assistance. The reason for this is that powerful Republican politicians and the majority of the American public support Ukraine.
Still expecting he’s deposed before end of Sept. No way out for Putin, not even by yacht. They’ll find him. He’s over no matter what. His billionaires know this. They are not giving back the billions to a lost cause, when their business losses are getting realized staggeringly fast. Weeks left now for Putin, not months.
Time may have been on Putin's side at some point but the drone dynamic has changed that. The idea of the invincibility of empire has been badly tarnished by Ukraine's success.
What a bunch of fantasies. European industries ramp up??? To what? Deindustrialization, bankrupcy, stock buybacks. We can see ukraine's cemeteries from space, but Russia will collapse because a couple of warehouses were struck. The nation that lost 28 mil in ww2 will surrender when it's winning and the enemy has no more soldiers. Yeah sure, buddy, keep dreaming. How about telling Zelensky to accept whatever Trump got for him in Anchorage, and stop destroying Ukraine. Won't happen, but that's all that could save Ukraine. Have you never wondered why the US is disengaging from Ukraine in every possible way, and letting the EU and Zelensky have center stage? Simple. When Kiev falls they want the new Saigon moment to be on the europeans and Zelensky. This winter the dreams of the West and the fools in Kiev will shatter. What' the future of Russia? Empire, as this the tragedy of Great Powers. What is the future of Ukraine? CHECHNYA!
Did you ever read the article? Your "answers" show that not. All arguments you put on the table are old and depraved. The former USSR is not the actual russia, the kind of war is far from WW2.
The only right point is that Trump always wants to be on the winning side - and this is the reason for his, slow,treacherous and careful, change of the side.
The only one dreaming are you, dreaming of a big RuSSian empire.
Why would I dream of a big Russian Empire? I'm in Romania. I think you don't dare see truth in the face, and keep comfort in your info bubble. Yes, warfare is differnet from ww2, but nukes in an existential war are a no brainer.
At what point will an ambitious younger member of the Siloviki conclude that Putin is vulnerable.?
Maybe Putin should quit thinking that time is on his side and go find his freedom on Blueberry Hill.