7 Comments
User's avatar
Karen Mead's avatar

I’ve subscribed based on Jake Broe’s recommendation! I look forward to reading your analysis.

Rick Kominick's avatar

I also subscribed 👍🇺🇦💯

Osvaldas Jurgelėnas's avatar

Words like bullets

Hit

And it is very hard

to get them back.

Peter Jones's avatar

Thankfully… the buried Russia report, the Johnson visits to the Lebedev’s villa, the crap response to WMD assassinations not withstanding…. there is a room named after you in St Antony’s College, Oxford.

Le Dévéhat's avatar

Realistic, about the battlefied situation and crude petrol incoming.

What about the russian internal pressure, on government and its head, due to both the bad national economic health & appaling congestion of military hospitals, morgues & cemetories (mainly filled by young russian people), as legislative elections are approaching. Is internal political protest able to deeply express some kind of "ras le bol sur la casquette" (full fed up) ?

Franz Kafka's avatar

Something nobody talks about is the fact that the economical, political and military coalition between Russia and the former Soviet republics is falling apart. Why? Because Russia cannot fulfill its part of the agreements. A couple of examples: Moldova announced recently it would leave the CIS (Community of Independent States, a political, economical and social alliance arpund Russia). And Armenia decided to quit the CSTO (military cooperation treaty with Russia), since Russia failed to defend Armenia against Azerbaijan during the last war regarding Nagorno-Karabach. Azerbaijan, still in conflict with Russia over the accidental shooting of a civilian airplane by Russia, turned to Turkey. And the Central Asian Republics (Kazakhstan, Kirgizistan, Uzbekistan) are looking towards China and the West for trade opportunities and development.

Russia has not only lost its allies in South America (Venezuela), Near East (Syria) and Africa (Libya), it CCD an’t fight on different fronts due to it being stuck in Ukraine. Its influence is reduced to nothing and it has become a vassal of China. This is all Putin’s merit. Stubborn and blind about Ukraine, relying on a circle of yes men who tell him everything is going according to plan (what plan?). He’s no Stalin, he’s no Tsar Peter The Great. Quite the opposite. He’s selling of the Russian Empire, as a matter of speaking. Gorbachev, while inheriting a crumbling empire, could keep the union together. What a disappointing end. What a disappointing result for a man, who had hoped to recreate the grand Russian Empire. He may very well bury it and dismantle Russia even. China is patient and waiting to annex the Far East Russian territories. They never forgot the China-Russia war end of 1960s around the river Amur. China lost then, but the roles are inversed now. It’s just a question of time.

Chuck C's avatar

"...the Russian army is slowly pushing Ukrainian forces out of Donbas, advancing toward Zaporizhzhia,..." - for the past month or so this trend has reversed, ever since Starlink terminals were required to be registered.