10 Comments
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Iain's avatar

Methinks you discount both the Ukrainian resolve *and* the new Ukrainian momentum in the skies of battle: Russia no longer has the upper hand.

Alexandra Barcus's avatar

How can there be a truce when Putin breaks his word every time. Putin will have to learn the hard way that the war is destabilizing him politically, and things could get bad. Cutting off internet for several days is not the way to win friends. He is alienating the home base.

Mari Mander's avatar

I’m wondering whether Putin can ever be trusted…

Erik Vynckier's avatar

Russia will go on.

They have no reason to stop.

Ruzcancerfighter's avatar

I disagree with your analysis.

Steltloper's avatar

The decrete hit him right between the eyes.

Jim Cuthbert's avatar

I'd love Ukraine to now send a multiple drone strike into Red Square, just to prove they could have hit the parade, that they really did authorise parade, to tell the world that they could have hit Putin, but let him have his silly little parade

What a demonstration of the changing initiative in the war that world be

Barbara's avatar
8hEdited

I don’t trust Putin and never will. And person who replaces Putin, same no trust. The Russian people and leadership have a long row to hoe to gain the trust of the world after 500 years or so of conquering their neighbors.

Denis M's avatar

Where is the agreed prisoner exchange negotiated by the US for the truce, Could President Zelenskey get the Ukrainian military and people to agree to peace, what terms would Ukraine accept ensure Russia cannot come back for more at a later date

Oleg Klimov's avatar

You write: “Neither side is making meaningful gains, and any attempt to change that would carry serious costs and would require mobilizing more soldiers and straining even more their already exhausted economies. For that reason, the May ceasefire feels like a turning point.”

But if for four years “neither side is making meaningful gains,” then in what sense is it a “turning point”?